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Crown Green Handicap

Les Welding

Team: VulcanDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

850

Current Handicap

0
Honours
Season:

5

Matches Played

1

Wins

4

Losses

20%

Win Rate

15.0

Avg Win Margin

7.8

Avg Loss Margin

1-3

Home Record

0-1

Away Record

0%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
1 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2024

Only 1 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 5 matches

Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

8 Aug29 Aug6 Sept13 Sept5 Sept-101

Held at 0 across all 5 matches.

Started0
Lowest0
Current0
Win Percentage(40%)
0%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
0.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
0.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
0%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
1000
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Weighted Score+0.000
Sample Size Confidence
0%(1/41 matches)
Rating1000 → shrunk 1000→ adjusted 850
Handicap
0

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W4L5 matches·20% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Vulcan2023–2024Division 2, Division 351420%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2024A GradyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
9/13/2023Geoff GaskellH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2023Rob BallH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023David CothamA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Dave AthertonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLWLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
A Grady0110%9/5/2024
Geoff Gaskell0110%9/13/2023
Rob Ball101100%9/6/2023
David Cotham0110%8/29/2023
Dave Atherton0110%8/8/2023
Biggest Win
Rob Ball (+15)9/6/2023
Heaviest Defeat
A Grady (-11)9/5/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 33%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7185 known · 0 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-420% win rate

By Division

Division 31-3 (25%)
Division 20-1 (0%)
Division 20%
0W·1L·1 played
Division 325%
1W·3L·4 played

Debut

Aug 8, 2023

Latest

Sep 5, 2024

Seasons Active

2 (1.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

2.5 (5 total)

Seasons

20232024